Steelers' Aaron Rodgers one win from tying Drew Brees for fourth on all-time QB wins list

Aaron Rodgers will tie Drew Brees for fourth on the NFL's all-time list of wins by a starting quarterback the next time the Pittsburgh Steelers win. ProFootball Talk on NBC Sports counts 180 wins in games Rodgers has started, playoffs included. One more gets him to 181, the total Brees retired with.

Most of those wins came in Green Bay, which accounts for 158. Six came with the Jets and 16 have come in Pittsburgh. Only three quarterbacks have more: Tom Brady with 286, Peyton Manning with 200 and Brett Favre with 199. Rodgers has said this will be his final season, PFT noted, so the list will probably stop moving there. He would need 19 more wins to reach Favre. Pittsburgh has nine regular-season games left, so even a full playoff run would leave him short. Passing Brees outright, though, takes only two wins.

The Steelers are well placed to get them. They're 6-2, have won four in a row and went into their bye alone in first place in the AFC North after a 27-6 home win over Cleveland on Nov. 1, as Steelers.com and CBS Sports reported. Jaylen Warren carried that game with 143 rushing yards on 17 carries. Rodgers went 13 of 25 for 172 yards before Mason Rudolph took over late. The win also made up for a 27-24 loss in Cleveland in Week 4.

What it means for Cincinnati

Rodgers gets his first chance at 181 on Sunday, Nov. 15, at Cincinnati on NBC. Pittsburgh already beat the Bengals once this season, 30-27 at home. Their home and road records are very different, though. The Steelers are 5-0 at home and 1-2 away. They beat Tampa Bay 26-19 on the road but lost at New England 20-3 and at Cleveland. Through eight games they have scored 180 points and allowed 144, a margin of 36.

The market still makes the Bengals the favorite. On this site's board for the game, which tracks 10 venues, Novig has Cincinnati favored at -174 on the moneyline, with Pittsburgh at +170. On the spread, the Bengals are favored by 3.5 at +102 on Novig, and the Steelers getting 3.5 are priced at -108. Novig sets the total at 49.5, with the over at +102 and the under at -111. Elsewhere, the best over is at BetRivers at -110 with the total a point lower, at 48.5. The best under is at BetMGM at -110 on 49.5. The venues are close on this game. Sportsbook hold runs from 3.0% to 5.0% on the moneyline and from 2.8% to 5.0% on the spread.

If the milestone has to wait, the market sees a better chance the following week. For the Nov. 22 game at Philadelphia, the board has Pittsburgh favored at -223 on Novig and -196 at bet365, the best price anywhere. The Steelers are also favored by 4.5 points. So far this season Rodgers has needed only one road win, but Cincinnati gives him a chance to tie Brees in a division game against a team the Steelers have already beaten.